Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.004820 0.005332 0.005862 0.006450 0.007085 0.007748 0.008492
2025-01-26 0.003942 0.004663 0.005448 0.006363 0.007396 0.008522 0.009839
2025-02-02 0.003432 0.004266 0.005210 0.006348 0.007676 0.009168 0.010962
2025-02-09 0.003038 0.003943 0.004999 0.006311 0.007883 0.009692 0.011918
2025-02-16 0.002823 0.003802 0.004975 0.006469 0.008298 0.010447 0.013138
2025-02-23 0.002520 0.003522 0.004755 0.006362 0.008373 0.010781 0.013851
2025-03-02 0.002315 0.003344 0.004644 0.006373 0.008579 0.011264 0.014739
2025-03-09 0.002222 0.003304 0.004698 0.006587 0.009035 0.012056 0.016015
2025-03-16 0.002085 0.003193 0.004651 0.006662 0.009309 0.012621 0.017014
2025-03-23 0.001992 0.003134 0.004665 0.006812 0.009678 0.013307 0.018173
2025-03-30 0.001924 0.003103 0.004712 0.007002 0.010100 0.014066 0.019434
2025-04-06 0.001747 0.002905 0.004519 0.006856 0.010067 0.014229 0.019928
2025-04-13 0.001621 0.002775 0.004417 0.006834 0.010201 0.014620 0.020733
2025-04-20 0.001486 0.002622 0.004272 0.006744 0.010239 0.014881 0.021371
2025-04-27 0.001384 0.002512 0.004184 0.006729 0.010375 0.015270 0.022179
2025-05-04 0.001284 0.002399 0.004084 0.006690 0.010471 0.015604 0.022917
2025-05-11 0.001246 0.002382 0.004125 0.006855 0.010859 0.016340 0.024204
2025-05-18 0.001142 0.002249 0.003984 0.006743 0.010844 0.016519 0.024735
2025-05-25 0.001075 0.002174 0.003927 0.006755 0.011006 0.016941 0.025604
2025-06-01 0.001060 0.002187 0.004009 0.006979 0.011480 0.017808 0.027096
2025-06-08 0.001014 0.002144 0.003998 0.007057 0.011740 0.018376 0.028180
2025-06-15 0.000988 0.002133 0.004038 0.007214 0.012118 0.019116 0.029514
2025-06-22 0.000972 0.002138 0.004104 0.007414 0.012564 0.019957 0.031001